Publications

Preprints (under Review / Revision)

Egli, S., Badenbach, T., van Emmerik, A., Stefan, A. M., OPTIMA Study Group, & Kopf-Beck, J. (2024). Emotion regulation and attachment as mechanisms of change in schema therapy and cognitive behaviour therapy for depression.
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Gigerenzer, G., Allen, C., Gaillard, S. D. M., Goldstone, R. L., Haaf, J. M., Holmes, W. R., Kashima, Y., Motz, B., Musslick, S., & Stefan, A. M. (2024). Alternative models of research funding.
Manuscript
Claus, N., Flechsenhar, A., Motka, F., Ehring T., Sckopke, P., Schönbrodt, F. D., Stefan, A. M., Werner, G. G., Cludius, B., & Zygar-Hoffmann, C. (2023). Interpersonal versus intrapersonal emotion regulation: Intensity of negative emotion predicts usage probability.
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Ruisch, B. C., Anderson, R. A., Stefan, A. M., & Krosch, A. R. (2023). Are there ideological asymmetries in intergroup bias? A minimal groups approach. Stage 1 Registered Report (in principal acceptance at Nature Human Behavior).
Manuscript
Kaczmarek, N., Mignon, A., Rousseau, A., & Stefan, A. M. (2023). Comparing the effectiveness of mental contrasting, implementation intentions, and their combination to promote physical activity among insufficiently active people. Stage 1 Registered Report (in principle acceptance at International Review of Social Psychology).
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McKinney, K., Stefan, A. M., & Gronau, Q. F. (2021). Developing prior distributions for Bayesian meta-analyses.
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Stefan, A. M., Gronau, Q. F., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (in press). Interim design analysis using Bayes factor forecasts. Psychological Methods.
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Veenman, M., Stefan, A. M., & Haaf, J. (in press). Bayesian hierarchical modeling: An introduction and reassessment. Behavior Research Methods 56, 4600-4631.
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Sarafoglou, A., Bartoš, F., Stefan, A. M., Haaf, J. M., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2024). “This behavior strikes us as ideal”: Assessment and anticipations of Huisman (2022). Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 31(1).
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Visser, I., Kucharský, Š., Levelt, C., Stefan, A. M., Wagenmakers, E.-J., & Oakes, L. (2023). Bayesian sample size planning for developmental studies. Infant and Child Development, e2412.
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van Doorn, J., Aust, F., Haaf, J., Stefan, A. M., & Wagenmakers E.-J. (2023). Bayes factors for mixed models. Computational Brain & Behavior 6, 1-13.
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Stefan, A. M. & Schönbrodt, F. D. (2023). Big little lies: A compendium and simulation of p-hacking strategies. Royal Society Open Science, 10(2), 220346.
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Werner, G., Sckopke, P., Cludius, B., Stefan, A., Schönbrodt, F., & Zygar-Hoffmann, C. (2023). The predictive power of insomnia symptoms on other aspects of mental health during the COVID-19 pandemic: A longitudinal study. Journal of Sleep Research 32(1), e13641.
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Stefan, A. M., Lengersdorff, L. L., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2022). A two-stage Bayesian sequential assessment of exploratory hypotheses. Collabra:Psychology 8(1).
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Stefan, A. M., Schönbrodt, F. D., Evans, N. J., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2022). Efficiency in sequential testing: Comparing the Sequential Probability Ratio Test and the Sequential Bayes Factor Test. Behavior Research Methods 55, 3100-3117.
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Stefan, A. M., Katsimpokis, D., Gronau Q., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2022). Expert agreement in prior elicitation and its effects on Bayesian inference. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 29, 1776-1794.
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Stefan, A. M., Evans, N. J., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2022). Practical challenges and methodological flexibility in prior elicitation. Psychological Methods, 27(2), 177-197.
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van Doorn, J., van den Bergh, D., Böhm, U., Dablander, F., Derks, K., Draws, T., Evans, N. J., Gronau, Q. F., Hinne, M., Kucharsky, S., Ly, A., Marsman, M., Matzke, D., Komarlu, A. R., Gupta, N., Sarafoglou, A., Stefan, A. M., Voelkel, J., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2021). The JASP guidelines for conducting and reporting a Bayesian analysis. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 28, 813-826
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van den Bergh, D., van Doorn, J., Marsman, M., Draws, T., van Kesteren, E.-J., Derks, K., Dablander, F., Gronau, Q., Kucharsky, S., Raj, A., Sarafoglou, A., Voelkel, J., Stefan, A. M., Ly, A., Hinne, M., Matzke, D., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2020). A tutorial on conducting and interpreting a Bayesian ANOVA in JASP. L’Année Psychologique / Topics in Cognitive Psychology, 120(1), 73-96.
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Stefan, A. M., & von Oertzen, T. (2020). Bayesian power equivalence in latent growth curve models. British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, 73(S1), 180-193.
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Ly, A., Stefan, A. M., van Doorn, J., Dablander, F., van den Bergh, D., Sarafoglou, A., Kucharsky, S., Derks, K., Gronau, Q. F., Raj, A., Boehm, U., van Kesteren, E.-J., Hinne, M., Matzke, D., Marsman, M., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2020). The Bayesian methodology of Sir Harold Jeffreys as a workable alternative to the p-value hypothesis test. Computational Brain & Behavior, 3, 151-161.
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Crüwell, S., Stefan, A. M., & Evans, N. J. (2019). Robust standards in cognitive science. Computational Brain & Behavior, 2(3), 255–265.
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Stefan, A. M., Gronau, Q. F., Schönbrodt, F. D., & Wagenmakers, E.-J. (2019). A tutorial on Bayes Factor Design Analysis using an informed prior. Behavior Research Methods, 51(3), 1042–1058.
Paper | Code, Materials | Shiny App | R Package

A discussion and perspective on responses in the special issue of Computational Brain and Behavior based on our 2023 article (van Doorn et al., 2023).
A book review of “Statistics for making decisions” for The American Statistician.
A magazine article about how bold evidence claims in the title of research articles may not reflect researchers’ personal convictions.
Two chapters in the book accompanying the JASP Data Library
Two chapters in a social psychology book project on fairy tales